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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 11:59 AM R2 12:34 PM R3 1:09 PM R4 1:44 PM R5 2:19 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:42 PM R8 4:27 PM R9 5:02 PM

Race 3

1:09 PM
1800m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st KOSAJI 💡 Saver
2nd CHURCHILL ROSE
3rd THE OBVIOUS CHILD
4th AUTUMN DEEL
❌ Unplaced — AUTUMN RAINBOW didn't feature
✅ Saver won — KOSAJI finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
AUTUMN RAINBOW W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
KOSAJI P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. AUTUMN RAINBOW FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.65 $1.05 $2.57
3. KOSAJI 4 $5.50 $1.40 $6.29
5. CONTRARY 3 $10.00 $2.25 $9.16
1. TIKKAMOS 8 $12.00 $2.45 $10.57
6. CHURCHILL ROSE 6 $16.00 $3.10 $12.19
2. THE CELLIST 7 $21.00 $3.75 $17.37
8. AUTUMN DEEL 2 $20.00 $3.75 $17.58
4. THE OBVIOUS CHILD 1 $21.00 $3.70 $19.51
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 41% 77% 22*
2.00–2.49 45% 81% 47*
2.50–3.49 25% 59% 114
3.50–4.99 25% 47% 102

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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