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CAULFIELD

R1 11:15 AM R2 11:50 AM R3 12:25 PM R4 1:00 PM R5 1:35 PM R6 2:10 PM R7 2:45 PM R8 3:30 PM R9 4:15 PM R10 5:50 PM

Race 3

12:25 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st GENTLE STEEL
2nd DANCE TO THE BOOM
3rd PHOTOGRAPH 💡 Saver
4th EAGLE EXPRESS
❌ Unplaced — GEEGEES MISTRUTH didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PHOTOGRAPH ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
GEEGEES MISTRUTH W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
PHOTOGRAPH P $1.85
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. GEEGEES MISTRUTH FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.00 $1.10 $3.19
9. PHOTOGRAPH 4 $6.50 $1.85 $7.59
8. SIGNATURE SCENT 9 $6.50 $1.85 $8.22
7. EAGLE EXPRESS 3 $10.00 $2.45 $9.50
5. STARDOM 5 $12.00 $2.75 $11.00
2. DANCE TO THE BOOM 2 $14.00 $3.20 $11.70
6. GENTLE STEEL 1 $26.00 $4.40 $16.54
4. THANKS GORGEOUS 7 $34.00 $5.50 $21.38
3. SNOW MERCY 8 $41.00 $6.00 $22.50
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 68% 44*
2.50–3.49 29% 71% 63
3.50–4.99 31% 63% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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