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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:34 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 2

12:55 PM
1250m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st COSMIC EAGLE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MICHONNE'S KATANA
3rd LLANTARNAM
4th WILD YARN
✅ Best Bet won — COSMIC EAGLE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
COSMIC EAGLE W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
VELASTRA P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. COSMIC EAGLE FAV TOP RATED 11 $1.85 $1.06 $3.23
10. VELASTRA 9 $5.00 $1.40 $5.08
11. SEQUOIA 8 $7.50 $1.90 $6.27
13. MICHONNE'S KATANA 3 $6.50 $1.70 $7.52
3. LLANTARNAM 1 $12.00 $2.45 $13.54
5. OAKFIELD KANSAS (NZ) 7 $51.00 $5.50 $24.76
12. WILD YARN 5 $41.00 $5.25 $28.39
9. THE WEAPON 6 $81.00 $7.00 $31.15
8. EMERALD EVIE 13 $126.00 $8.50 $51.08
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 80% 44*
2.00–2.49 41% 80% 51*
2.50–3.49 36% 68% 75
3.50–4.99 29% 52% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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