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MOE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:00 PM R4 2:35 PM R5 3:10 PM R6 3:45 PM R7 4:20 PM

Race 6

3:45 PM
1217m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st ELLY DEE
2nd ALPINOVA
3rd MONT SAINT MICHEL 💡 Saver
4th FREDERICK
❌ Unplaced — NOBLE STYLE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — MONT SAINT MICHEL ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
8
NOBLE STYLE P $1.60
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
MONT SAINT MICHEL W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. NOBLE STYLE FAV TOP RATED 12 $3.90 $1.60 $6.02
2. FREDERICK 2 $5.50 $2.05 $8.07
10. ALPINOVA 10 $6.00 $2.15 $8.34
4. MONT SAINT MICHEL 9 $8.50 $2.70 $10.46
6. ZE BEE NINE 13 $9.50 $2.90 $11.28
1. RUBY AVENUE 1 $9.00 $2.75 $11.56
3. GATSBY CROWN 6 $9.00 $2.75 $11.63
5. OCEAN'S JEN (NZ) 8 $18.00 $4.40 $12.51
7. ELLY DEE 11 $13.00 $3.70 $12.72
11. NIGHT ERUPTION 7 $23.00 $4.80 $21.51
9. NIGHT COLOURS 4 $101.00 $13.00 $35.34
Favourite record at MOE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.90) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 32% 57% 37*
3.50–4.99 this race 22% 39% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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