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EAGLE FARM

R1 1:33 PM R2 2:08 PM R3 2:43 PM R4 3:18 PM R5 3:53 PM R6 4:28 PM R7 5:05 PM

Race 1

1:33 PM
1830m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st SWIFT SOVEREIGN (NZ)
2nd KINDRED 📍 Place Pick
3rd PUNGWE RIVER (GB) 💡 Saver
4th KALAMIA KING
✅ Place bet landed — KINDRED ran a place
✅ Saver placed — PUNGWE RIVER (GB) ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
KINDRED P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
2
PUNGWE RIVER (GB) W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. KINDRED FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.70 $1.38 $3.16
4. SWIFT SOVEREIGN (NZ) 3 $3.10 $1.45 $4.18
1. KALAMIA KING 2 $3.20 $1.50 $4.39
2. PUNGWE RIVER (GB) 1 $14.00 $4.50 $10.70
3. SLIGHTLY SQUEEZE 6 $23.00 $6.50 $15.15
6. SILVERTAIL 5 $23.00 $6.75 $17.39
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 85% 33*
2.00–2.49 40% 74% 62
2.50–3.49 this race 24% 60% 123
3.50–4.99 18% 49% 79

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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