โ€น All races

MORNINGTON

R1 2:00 PM R2 2:30 PM R3 3:00 PM R4 3:30 PM R5 4:00 PM R6 4:30 PM R7 5:00 PM R8 5:30 PM

Race 1

2:00 PM
1000m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st DEADLY FORCE โญ Best Bet
2nd MYSTIC RIVER QUEEN ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd RAINING FIRE (NZ)
4th EXCLUSIVE PUNT
โœ… Best Bet won โ€” DEADLY FORCE finished 1st
โœ… Saver placed โ€” MYSTIC RIVER QUEEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
DEADLY FORCE W $1.75
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
9
MYSTIC RIVER QUEEN P $1.65
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. DEADLY FORCE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.75 $1.14 $2.56
9. MYSTIC RIVER QUEEN 1 $3.90 $1.65 $4.90
5. RAINING FIRE (NZ) 6 $5.50 $2.20 $5.82
7. TOP ACE (NZ) 4 $7.00 $2.60 $7.79
10. HE'S A DANDY (IRE) 7 $41.00 $8.00 $20.02
8. EXCLUSIVE PUNT 8 $61.00 $12.00 $27.21
2. MONTOSTRATUS 9 $101.00 $14.00 $52.64
Favourite record at MORNINGTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50โ€“3.49 25% 67% 36*
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 50% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.