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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:15 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st TIME TO DANCE (NZ)
2nd HIT THE RUNWAY
3rd WATER CITY 📍 Place Pick
4th DARN LUCKY 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — WATER CITY ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
WATER CITY P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
DARN LUCKY W $9.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. WATER CITY FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.50 $1.38 $5.58
8. HIT THE RUNWAY 9 $4.40 $1.60 $6.36
11. QAYED 7 $6.00 $2.05 $7.38
4. DARN LUCKY 1 $9.00 $2.60 $9.11
3. ALPHA SORT 4 $10.00 $2.75 $9.99
9. LAUGHING MOONS 6 $10.00 $2.75 $10.43
10. NEMERA 15 $11.00 $3.00 $11.19
2. DUBIOUS EXPRESS (NZ) 3 $26.00 $4.80 $16.06
1. TIME TO DANCE (NZ) 11 $17.00 $4.00 $17.37
12. BULL RUSH BOY 14 $151.00 $15.00 $75.16
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 83% 30*
2.00–2.49 36% 85% 39*
2.50–3.49 25% 67% 60
3.50–4.99 this race 19% 71% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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