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WARRNAMBOOL

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Race 5

4:00 PM
1200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st HINEY'S BAR
2nd NICCOTEIN
3rd LEONA 📍 Place Pick
4th PIKLEMEGRANMOTHER
✅ Place bet landed — LEONA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
10
LEONA P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
12
SEMPER AUGUSTUS W $17.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. LEONA FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.70 $1.30 $4.06
14. CELESTARIA 14 $5.50 $1.90 $6.25
6. ZERCARDY 5 $6.50 $2.10 $8.02
1. BIG VEE 7 $5.00 $1.75 $9.64
12. SEMPER AUGUSTUS 12 $17.00 $4.20 $14.66
8. CIRCUS CIRCUS 8 $18.00 $4.00 $15.02
11. PIKLEMEGRANMOTHER 6 $26.00 $5.00 $16.53
5. NICCOTEIN 1 $21.00 $4.40 $19.43
9. LANGE NELLE 2 $20.00 $4.40 $19.86
3. HINEY'S BAR 13 $61.00 $7.25 $29.78
2. ENNISCRONE 4 $71.00 $8.00 $40.92
4. LISTEN UP 3 $251.00 $17.00 $95.89
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 79% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 72% 36*
3.50–4.99 23% 52% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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