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FLEMINGTON

R1 11:40 AM R2 12:15 PM R3 12:50 PM R4 1:30 PM R5 2:10 PM R6 2:50 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:10 PM R9 4:50 PM

Race 3

12:50 PM
2600m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Country Racing Victoria ›
🏁 Result
1st PINHOLE (GB) 📍 Place Pick
2nd MANZOR BLUE (NZ)
3rd TORRANZINO (NZ)
4th DEFIANTLY (FR)
✅ Place bet — won outright — PINHOLE (GB) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
PINHOLE (GB) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
LITZDEEL W $9.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. PINHOLE (GB) FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.50 $1.26 $3.65
1. DEFIANTLY (FR) 9 $4.20 $1.45 $6.39
5. KING PEDRO (NZ) 11 $5.50 $1.80 $6.91
8. LITZDEEL 6 $9.00 $2.45 $8.11
3. BERKELEY SQUARE 8 $11.00 $2.90 $10.80
7. VALIANT KING (GB) 4 $19.00 $4.25 $15.98
11. BELLA MONTAGNA (NZ) 12 $34.00 $6.25 $22.13
9. MANZOR BLUE (NZ) 2 $41.00 $6.50 $26.04
6. TORRANZINO (NZ) 3 $26.00 $5.00 $27.92
10. NEWLOOK (FR) 5 $81.00 $9.50 $37.15
Favourite record at FLEMINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 43% 70% 37*
2.50–3.49 this race 26% 60% 68
3.50–4.99 22% 47% 55*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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