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ROCKHAMPTON

R1 2:07 PM R2 2:43 PM R3 3:25 PM R4 4:03 PM R5 4:43 PM R6 5:19 PM R7 5:49 PM

Race 6

5:19 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st PROVISEUR (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FOUR LEAF WONDER 💡 Saver
3rd MASALI RAFFA
4th MR DEMOCRAT
✅ Best Bet won — PROVISEUR (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FOUR LEAF WONDER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
PROVISEUR (NZ) W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
FOUR LEAF WONDER P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PROVISEUR (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.95 $1.09 $3.45
5. FOUR LEAF WONDER 2 $3.40 $1.30 $4.68
6. MR DEMOCRAT 6 $12.00 $2.75 $9.69
4. ALOYSIUS 5 $9.50 $2.40 $10.80
7. PURPOSELY 12 $14.00 $3.10 $12.37
10. MASALI RAFFA 8 $26.00 $4.40 $17.24
8. NEPTUNE LEGEND 11 $26.00 $4.40 $22.31
1. BE BOB ALOOLA 10 $51.00 $6.25 $26.82
12. MISS ELOTAN 4 $71.00 $7.25 $36.08
9. WHATTA MISSION 9 $71.00 $7.25 $37.41
11. NATIVE BEE 1 $91.00 $8.00 $39.17
Favourite record at ROCKHAMPTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 53% 93% 40*
2.00–2.49 41% 76% 37*
2.50–3.49 27% 58% 67
3.50–4.99 26% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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