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GEELONG

R1 11:40 AM R2 12:10 PM R3 12:45 PM R4 1:20 PM R5 1:55 PM R6 2:30 PM R7 3:10 PM R8 3:50 PM R9 4:30 PM

Race 3

12:45 PM
1235m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LAFARNA (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SEAGOE
3rd OCEAN MIRAGE
4th SISTERLY 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — LAFARNA (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
LAFARNA (NZ) W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
13
SISTERLY P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LAFARNA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.80 $1.07 $2.92
13. SISTERLY 8 $5.50 $1.55 $7.65
4. FINEST BLEND 6 $8.50 $2.10 $10.73
10. VELOCITE BELLE 4 $14.00 $2.90 $11.11
11. VIXEN VIBES 1 $12.00 $2.65 $11.78
1. CELESTARIA 10 $20.00 $3.70 $13.68
14. SEAGOE 7 $19.00 $3.70 $16.04
8. OCEAN MIRAGE 12 $41.00 $5.50 $20.45
9. TAEMA 15 $51.00 $6.00 $23.52
12. NOTHIN' SURER 5 $71.00 $7.00 $31.58
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 65% 88% 26*
2.00–2.49 34% 63% 38*
2.50–3.49 32% 73% 78
3.50–4.99 21% 60% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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