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Race 5

1:55 PM
1750m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st FOREST JIM
2nd BOGGY CREEK BOYS
3rd AFRICAN GREY
4th EARL OF GLOUCESTER
❌ Unplaced — AKARI SPIRIT didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
AKARI SPIRIT P $1.38
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
7
PRINCESS SAKIKO W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. AKARI SPIRIT FAV TOP RATED 7 $3.40 $1.38 $5.46
10. FOREST JIM 5 $4.80 $1.80 $6.20
8. SO LONG AGO 4 $5.00 $1.85 $7.63
7. PRINCESS SAKIKO 9 $8.00 $2.50 $8.17
4. WONDERING SPIRIT (NZ) 6 $5.50 $1.95 $8.25
6. EGERTON REEF 11 $15.00 $3.80 $12.94
3. BOGGY CREEK BOYS 2 $23.00 $4.75 $17.36
9. DANE ON TOUR 1 $23.00 $4.80 $17.63
1. EARL OF GLOUCESTER 3 $26.00 $5.00 $21.59
11. AFRICAN GREY 8 $26.00 $5.25 $23.24
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 88% 26*
2.00–2.49 34% 63% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 32% 73% 78
3.50–4.99 21% 60% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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